Prediction market intelligence, movers & signals

Public prediction market intelligence from ingested data. Signals are rule-based flags - not trade recommendations.

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

LiveSports

yes Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored

Updated 141h ago

Why this is interesting: Recent price activity

YES

12.7%

NO

87.3%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Confidence

Mid

Volume

23.3K vol

View market

Quick signals

yes Detroit,yes Philadelphia,yes Toronto,yes New York Y,yes Chicago C,yes Los Angeles D,yes New York M,yes Los Angeles A,yes San Diego

1%

Market probability

Leaning YES

yes Chicago C,yes Detroit,yes Milwaukee,yes New York Y,yes Tampa Bay,yes A's,no Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes BOS Bruins,yes UTA Mammoth

50%

Market probability

Leaning YES

yes New York M,yes New York Y,yes Pittsburgh,yes Donovan Mitchell: 1+,yes Cade Cunningham: 1+,yes Duncan Robinson: 1+,yes Tobias Harris: 1+,yes Austin Reaves: 2+,yes LeBron James: 4+,yes Marcus Smart: 2+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 6+,yes Oklahoma City,yes Donovan Mitchell: 15+,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes James Harden: 10+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+,yes Jalen Duren: 10+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Deandre Ayton: 10+,yes LeBron James: 15+,yes Marcus Smart: 10+,yes Chet Holmgren: 10+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 2+,yes Evan Mobley: 6+,yes Jarrett Allen: 4+,yes Deandre Ayton: 4+,yes Chet Holmgren: 6+,no Detroit wins by over 3.5 points

4%

Market probability

Leaning YES

yes Luca Nardi,yes New York M,yes Texas,yes Minnesota,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Arizona,no Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,no Miami wins by over 1.5 runs,yes CAR Hurricanes

50%

Market probability

Leaning YES

yes Daniel Merida,yes Roberto Bautista Agut,yes Zizou Bergs,yes Roman Andres Burruchaga,yes Alexander Blockx,yes Marin Cilic,yes Sebastian Ofner,yes Matteo Berrettini,yes Pablo Llamas Ruiz,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante,yes Qinwen Zheng,yes Mirra Andreeva,yes Coco Gauff,yes Sorana Cirstea,yes Jasmine Paolini,yes Anhelina Kalinina,yes Elise Mertens,yes Linda Noskova

1%

Market probability

Leaning YES

yes Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Boston wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Miami wins by over 1.5 runs,yes San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored

0%

Market probability

Leaning YES

yes Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored

50%

Market probability

Leaning YES

yes Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored

13%

Market probability

Leaning YES

Provider snapshot

A quick side-by-side view of recent movers and active signals by provider.

Movers

Signals

  • No active signals yet.

Top opportunities right now

Ranked by model edge and market inefficiencies · Updated live

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No strong opportunities right now

Markets are currently efficient. Showing latest signals below.

Biggest volume change (1h)

Collecting last-hour volume snapshots…

This section appears once we have enough recent volume points to compute a reliable 1h change.

Trending by volume change (1h)

Collecting last-hour volume snapshots…

Once 1h volume deltas are available, trending markets will appear here.

Top signals

All →

No active signals for this filter.

Payout & breakeven calculator

Quick payoff math for a $1 / $0 per-share market. Informational only.

Methodology →

Payout & breakeven calculator

Informational only. Uses a simplified $1 / $0 payoff per share.

Cost

$4.40

Payout if correct

$10.00

Max profit

$5.60

Max loss

$4.40

Breakeven probability (for YES)

44.0%

If your true probability for YES is above this, the trade is positive EV in expectation (under that belief).