Markets

Updated 7h ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Open prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi from ingested public data. Probabilities are market-implied (traded mid/last), not claims of true likelihood.

Browse by topic for faster discovery.

Src
Cat
Type
Stance
Vol

Category and volume slice open markets. Signal type and stance use the top active signal on each market when present.

yes Detroit,yes Philadelphia,yes Toronto,yes New York Y,yes Chicago C,yes Los Angeles D,yes New York M,yes Los Angeles A,yes San Diego
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

0.5%

Volume

33k

No live book
yes Chicago C,yes Detroit,yes Milwaukee,yes New York Y,yes Tampa Bay,yes A's,no Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes BOS Bruins,yes UTA Mammoth
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

32k

No live book
yes New York M,yes New York Y,yes Pittsburgh,yes Donovan Mitchell: 1+,yes Cade Cunningham: 1+,yes Duncan Robinson: 1+,yes Tobias Harris: 1+,yes Austin Reaves: 2+,yes LeBron James: 4+,yes Marcus Smart: 2+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 6+,yes Oklahoma City,yes Donovan Mitchell: 15+,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes James Harden: 10+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+,yes Jalen Duren: 10+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Deandre Ayton: 10+,yes LeBron James: 15+,yes Marcus Smart: 10+,yes Chet Holmgren: 10+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 2+,yes Evan Mobley: 6+,yes Jarrett Allen: 4+,yes Deandre Ayton: 4+,yes Chet Holmgren: 6+,no Detroit wins by over 3.5 points
Kalshi

Market-implied

4.1%

Volume

30k

No live book
yes Luca Nardi,yes New York M,yes Texas,yes Minnesota,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Arizona,no Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,no Miami wins by over 1.5 runs,yes CAR Hurricanes
Kalshi

Sports

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

30k

No live book
yes Daniel Merida,yes Roberto Bautista Agut,yes Zizou Bergs,yes Roman Andres Burruchaga,yes Alexander Blockx,yes Marin Cilic,yes Sebastian Ofner,yes Matteo Berrettini,yes Pablo Llamas Ruiz,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante,yes Qinwen Zheng,yes Mirra Andreeva,yes Coco Gauff,yes Sorana Cirstea,yes Jasmine Paolini,yes Anhelina Kalinina,yes Elise Mertens,yes Linda Noskova
Kalshi

Sports

Market-implied

0.6%

Volume

27k

No live book
yes Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Boston wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Miami wins by over 1.5 runs,yes San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

0.3%

Volume

23k

No live book
yes Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored
Kalshi

Sports

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

23k

No live book
yes Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored
Kalshi

Sports

Market-implied

12.7%

Volume

23k

No live book
yes New York Y,yes Cincinnati,yes Boston,yes Atlanta,yes New York M,yes San Diego,yes Seattle,yes Detroit,yes Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,no Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs,no A's wins by over 2.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

23k

No live book
yes Alexander Zverev,yes Jannik Sinner,yes Pittsburgh,yes Milwaukee,yes New York Y,yes Boston,yes Tampa Bay,yes Atlanta,yes San Diego,yes Cleveland,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes BOS Bruins,yes VGK Golden Knights
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

0.4%

Volume

23k

No live book
yes New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs,yes Boston wins by over 2.5 runs,yes Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Kansas City wins by over 1.5 runs
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

23k

No live book
yes Stephon Castle: 4+,yes Jalen Brunson: 6+,yes San Antonio,yes New York,yes Jaden McDaniels: 15+,yes Julius Randle: 15+,yes Stephon Castle: 15+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 25+,yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 15+,yes Kelly Oubre Jr.: 10+,yes Tyrese Maxey: 20+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 10+,yes Jaden McDaniels: 4+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 10+,yes Josh Hart: 6+,yes Mitchell Robinson: 6+,yes OG Anunoby: 4+,yes Joel Embiid: 6+,yes Kelly Oubre Jr.: 4+
Kalshi

Sports

Market-implied

5.6%

Volume

23k

No live book
yes Tobias Harris: 3+,yes Marcus Smart: 6+,yes Cleveland,yes Luguentz Dort: 15+
Kalshi

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

23k

No live book
yes Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Washington wins by over 1.5 runs,yes New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,yes New York M wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs
Kalshi

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

22k

No live book
yes Toronto,yes New York Y,yes Pittsburgh,yes Houston,yes Milwaukee,yes Miami,yes Tampa Bay,yes St. Louis,yes Chicago C,yes Atlanta,yes Cleveland,yes Los Angeles A,yes Chicago WS,yes Kansas City,yes Detroit
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

22k

No live book
yes Scottie Barnes: 2+,yes Jalen Suggs: 2+,yes Reed Sheppard: 2+,yes Cade Cunningham: 8+,yes Cleveland,yes Detroit,yes Los Angeles L,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes Desmond Bane: 15+,yes Alperen Sengun: 8+
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

21k

No live book
yes Donovan Mitchell: 3+,yes Duncan Robinson: 2+,yes Austin Reaves: 2+,yes James Harden: 7+,yes Los Angeles L,yes Evan Mobley: 15+,yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+,yes Jalen Duren: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+,yes LeBron James: 25+,yes Rui Hachimura: 10+,yes Evan Mobley: 8+,yes Jalen Duren: 8+,yes Wendell Carter Jr.: 6+,yes LeBron James: 6+,yes Over 210.5 points scored
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

21k

No live book
yes Texas,yes Detroit,yes Chicago C,yes Los Angeles D,yes Colorado,yes Los Angeles A,yes Seattle,yes Philadelphia,yes San Antonio,yes New York,yes Oklahoma City,yes Cleveland
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

19k

No live book
yes Atlanta,yes San Diego,yes Seattle,yes Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs,yes New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs,no Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,no Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs,no Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

0.3%

Volume

19k

No live book
yes Yaroslav Amosov,yes Joaquin Buckley,yes Jose Ochoa,yes Khamzat Chimaev,yes Ateba Gautier,yes King Green,yes Roman Kopylov,yes Jared Gordon,yes William Gomis,yes Baisangur Susurkaev,yes Tatsuro Taira,yes Alexander Volkov
Kalshi

Sports

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

19k

No live book
no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Arsenal wins by over 1.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona wins by over 1.5 goals,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Atalanta,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Kalshi

Kalshi

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

17k

No live book
yes Philadelphia,yes Detroit,yes Chicago C,yes Los Angeles D,yes Los Angeles A,yes Cleveland,yes Los Angeles L,yes LeBron James: 25+,yes Marcus Smart: 10+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 30+,yes Evan Mobley: 6+,yes Jarrett Allen: 6+,yes Deandre Ayton: 4+,yes LeBron James: 4+,yes Chet Holmgren: 6+,yes Isaiah Hartenstein: 4+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 2+
Kalshi

Sports

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

17k

No live book
yes New York M wins by over 3.5 runs,yes New York Y wins by over 3.5 runs,yes Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs,yes Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs
Kalshi

Sports

Market-implied

50.0%

Volume

15k

No live book
yes Cincinnati,yes Philadelphia,yes Tampa Bay,yes Cleveland,yes Kansas City,yes Milwaukee,yes Seattle,yes Chicago C
Kalshi

Sports

Market-implied

0.5%

Volume

15k

No live book