Prediction market intelligence, movers & signals
Public prediction market intelligence from ingested data. Signals are rule-based flags - not trade recommendations.
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 2 Crystal Palace FC?
Updated 50h ago
Why this is interesting: High confidence · momentum confirmation
YES
1.9%
NO
98.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Quick signals
Swipe for moreWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
Market probability
Leaning YES
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)
23%
Market probability
Leaning YES
Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)
5%
Market probability
Leaning YES
FK Oleksandriya vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 4.5
8%
Market probability
Leaning YES
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 2 Crystal Palace FC?
2%
Market probability
Leaning YES
Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?
90%
Market probability
Leaning YES
Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)
17%
Market probability
Leaning YES
FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5
24%
Market probability
Leaning YES
Provider snapshot
A quick side-by-side view of recent movers and active signals by provider.
Movers
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?YES 2.1%NO 97.9%Vol 62.58M
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?YES 0.8%NO 99.3%Vol 50.71M
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?YES 0.7%NO 99.4%Vol 50.11M
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?YES 0.8%NO 99.3%Vol 49.25M
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?YES 0.9%NO 99.2%Vol 48.45M
Movers
- yes Detroit,yes Philadelphia,yes Toronto,yes New York Y,yes Chicago C,yes Los Angeles D,yes New York M,yes Los Angeles A,yes San DiegoYES 0.5%NO 99.5%Vol 33.5K
- yes Chicago C,yes Detroit,yes Milwaukee,yes New York Y,yes Tampa Bay,yes A's,no Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes BOS Bruins,yes UTA MammothYES 50.0%NO 50.0%Vol 31.9K
- yes New York M,yes New York Y,yes Pittsburgh,yes Donovan Mitchell: 1+,yes Cade Cunningham: 1+,yes Duncan Robinson: 1+,yes Tobias Harris: 1+,yes Austin Reaves: 2+,yes LeBron James: 4+,yes Marcus Smart: 2+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 6+,yes Oklahoma City,yes Donovan Mitchell: 15+,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes James Harden: 10+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+,yes Jalen Duren: 10+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Deandre Ayton: 10+,yes LeBron James: 15+,yes Marcus Smart: 10+,yes Chet Holmgren: 10+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 2+,yes Evan Mobley: 6+,yes Jarrett Allen: 4+,yes Deandre Ayton: 4+,yes Chet Holmgren: 6+,no Detroit wins by over 3.5 pointsYES 4.1%NO 95.9%Vol 30.3K
- yes Luca Nardi,yes New York M,yes Texas,yes Minnesota,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Arizona,no Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,no Miami wins by over 1.5 runs,yes CAR HurricanesYES 50.0%NO 50.0%Vol 30.0K
- yes Daniel Merida,yes Roberto Bautista Agut,yes Zizou Bergs,yes Roman Andres Burruchaga,yes Alexander Blockx,yes Marin Cilic,yes Sebastian Ofner,yes Matteo Berrettini,yes Pablo Llamas Ruiz,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante,yes Qinwen Zheng,yes Mirra Andreeva,yes Coco Gauff,yes Sorana Cirstea,yes Jasmine Paolini,yes Anhelina Kalinina,yes Elise Mertens,yes Linda NoskovaYES 0.6%NO 99.4%Vol 27.3K
Signals
- No active signals yet.
Top opportunities right now
Ranked by model edge and market inefficiencies · Updated live
Last updated May 12, 06:27 AM UTC
Best available signals
Closest matches to current opportunity criteria
Last updated May 12, 06:27 AM UTC
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Edge
+1.4 pts
Early edge
Entry
<5¢
Model estimate
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Edge
+1.9 pts
Early edge
Entry
<5¢
Model estimate
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Edge
+1.9 pts
Early edge
Entry
<5¢
Model estimate
Game Handicap: BTR (-1.5) vs Dewa United Esports (+1.5)
Edge
+1.9 pts
Early edge
Entry
<5¢
Model estimate
Biggest volume change (1h)
- 1Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1%+25.8K 1h
- 2
- 3Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1%+6.3K 1h
- 4
- 5
- 6Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.8%+3.6K 1hAbove estimate
- 7
- 8
Trending by volume change (1h)
- 1Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+1.5K 1hVol 48.45M0.9% implied▼-0.1 pts
- 2Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+1.4K 1hVol 49.25M0.8% implied▲+0.1 pts
- 3Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+1.2K 1hVol 40.69M0.7% implied▼-0.1 pts
- 4Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+1.1K 1hVol 40.12M0.7% implied◆0.0 pts
- 5Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+799 1hVol 40.13M0.7% implied◆0.0 pts
- 6Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+469 1hVol 41.36M0.8% implied◆0.0 pts
- 7Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?+405 1hVol 62.58M2.1% implied◆0.0 pts
- 8Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+168 1hVol 39.41M0.7% implied◆0.0 pts
Top signals
All →Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Above estimateImplied
0.8%
Model estimate
25.2%
YES
0.8%
NO
99.3%
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)
Implied
22.5%
Model estimate
22.5%
YES
22.5%
NO
77.5%
Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)
Implied
4.5%
Model estimate
4.5%
YES
4.5%
NO
95.5%
FK Oleksandriya vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 4.5
Implied
7.5%
Model estimate
7.5%
YES
7.5%
NO
92.5%
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 2 Crystal Palace FC?
Implied
1.9%
Model estimate
2.6%
YES
1.9%
NO
98.0%
Payout & breakeven calculator
Quick payoff math for a $1 / $0 per-share market. Informational only.
Payout & breakeven calculator
Informational only. Uses a simplified $1 / $0 payoff per share.
Cost
$4.40
Payout if correct
$10.00
Max profit
$5.60
Max loss
$4.40
Breakeven probability (for YES)
44.0%
If your true probability for YES is above this, the trade is positive EV in expectation (under that belief).