Culture · market-implied 26.4%
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Calvin McDonald as CEO of Lululemon Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Lululemon. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Calvin McDonald as CEO of Lululemon Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Lululemon Inc.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-0.5 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
26.4%
Model estimate
74.1%
YES
26.4%
NO
73.7%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +4.4 pts · Δ24h +4.4 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence LowYES
26.4%
NO
73.7%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.358 · wide
This market is currently priced at 26.4%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 25.9%, indicating a possible -0.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +4.4 pts · Δ24h +4.4 pts (same direction)
YES
NO