Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Culture · market-implied 97.7%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular announces that he and a partner are expecting a baby through pregnancy between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. This market will resolve based on the date of announcement, regardless of when the child is born. The resolution source will be statements from Clavicular or his representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
-0.3 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
97.7%
Model estimate
2.6%
YES
97.7%
NO
2.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +20.9 pts · Δ24h +20.9 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
97.7%
NO
2.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.100 vs 0.030 · wide · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 97.7%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 97.4%, indicating a possible -0.3 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +20.9 pts · Δ24h +20.9 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Execution
YES
NO