Culture · market-implied 92.3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
92.3%
NO
7.7%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.067 vs 0.024 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
92.3%
Model estimate
-
YES
92.3%
NO
7.7%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +4.0 pts · Δ24h +5.1 pts (same direction)
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.067 vs 0.024 · wide
YES
NO