Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Updated 8d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Crypto · market-implied 79.5%

PolymarketVolume ~54,512.379← All markets

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 79.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 87.5%, indicating a possible +8.0 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: 1h move +4.0 pts · 4.6× typical volatility

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
  • Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
77¢
Best ask (buy)
80¢
Spread
Midpoint
79¢
Depth (top level)
bid 15 · ask 14.23

NO

Best bid (sell)
20¢
Best ask (buy)
23¢
Spread
Midpoint
22¢
Depth (top level)
bid 14.23 · ask 15