Crypto · market-implied 79.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if prjx.com officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from prjx.com, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Overreaction
Confidence Mid-highEdge
+8.0 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
79.5%
Model estimate
87.5%
YES
79.5%
NO
20.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move +4.0 pts · 4.6× typical volatility
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
79.5%
NO
20.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.290 vs 0.090 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
79.5%
Model estimate
-
YES
79.5%
NO
20.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -5.0 pts · Δ24h -7.5 pts (same direction)
This market is currently priced at 79.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 87.5%, indicating a possible +8.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move +4.0 pts · 4.6× typical volatility
YES
NO