Sports · market-implied 0.8%
This market will resolve to the named individual who is publicly announced as having agreed to purchase the Seattle Seahawks by September 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET (the beginning of the 2026 NFL regular season). If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered. If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner. If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Overreaction
Confidence MidEdge
+44.5 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
0.8%
Model estimate
45.3%
YES
0.8%
NO
99.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move +3.5 pts · 3.0× typical volatility
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+2.9 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
0.8%
Model estimate
3.6%
YES
0.8%
NO
99.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -8.3 pts · Δ24h -8.3 pts (same direction)
This market is currently priced at 0.8%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 45.3%, indicating a possible +44.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move +3.5 pts · 3.0× typical volatility
YES
NO