Business · market-implied 0.3%
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+1.8 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
0.3%
Model estimate
2.0%
YES
0.3%
NO
99.8%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -11.8 pts · Δ24h -11.8 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence LowYES
0.3%
NO
99.8%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.136 · wide
This market is currently priced at 0.3%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 2.0%, indicating a possible +1.8 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -11.8 pts · Δ24h -11.8 pts (same direction)
YES
No live book
NO
No live book