Tech · market-implied 18.5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Overreaction
Confidence HighEdge
-2.0 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
18.5%
Model estimate
83.5%
YES
18.5%
NO
81.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move -3.0 pts · 6.0× typical volatility
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-1.5 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
18.5%
Model estimate
83.0%
YES
18.5%
NO
81.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +3.5 pts · Δ24h +3.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
18.5%
NO
81.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.020 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 18.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 16.5%, indicating a possible -2.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move -3.0 pts · 6.0× typical volatility
YES
NO