BinaryStreaks

Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?

Updated 12d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Tech · market-implied 97.0%

PolymarketVolume ~38,181.801← All markets

Recent price

97.0%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Polymarket.com has more monthly worldwide web visits as published by similarweb.com (https://similarweb.com/#/digitalsuite/websiteanalysis/overview/website-performance/*/999/1m?webSource=Total&key=polymarket.com%2Crobinhood.com) for at least one Monthly data point in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any monthly data point for 2026 will qualify. If not all relevant monthly data points have been published by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. A tie in the number of Monthly Website visits will not suffice. The resolution source will be the Worldwide Monthly Website Visits data from the "Visits over time" chart comparing Polymarket.com with Robinhood, viewed by adding the listed company to the Similarweb Polymarket.com page (https://similarweb.com/#/digitalsuite/websiteanalysis/overview/website-performance/*/999/1m?webSource=Total&key=polymarket.com%2Crobinhood.com) and selecting "M" (Monthly) in the "Visits over time" chart. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Active signals

No active signals for this market.

Market summary

This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

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Execution

YES

No live book

NO

No live book