Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

Updated 12d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Crypto · market-implied 54.0%

PolymarketVolume ~36,930.905← All markets

Recent price

54.0%

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Solana’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Solana’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 54.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 54.0%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +3.5 pts · Δ24h +3.5 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
53¢
Best ask (buy)
55¢
Spread
Midpoint
54¢
Depth (top level)
bid 518.86 · ask 18.52

NO

Best bid (sell)
45¢
Best ask (buy)
47¢
Spread
Midpoint
46¢
Depth (top level)
bid 18.52 · ask 518.86