Crypto · market-implied 27.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+2.0 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
27.5%
Model estimate
29.5%
YES
27.5%
NO
72.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.5 pts · Δ24h -4.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-lowYES
27.5%
NO
72.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.080 vs 0.060 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 27.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 29.5%, indicating a possible +2.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.5 pts · Δ24h -4.0 pts (same direction)
YES
NO