Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Politics · market-implied 89.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
-2.0 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
89.5%
Model estimate
12.5%
YES
89.5%
NO
10.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +12.0 pts · Δ24h +17.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
89.5%
NO
10.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 89.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 87.5%, indicating a possible -2.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +12.0 pts · Δ24h +17.5 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
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Execution
YES
NO