BinaryStreaks

OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Updated 8d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Crypto · market-implied 99.4%

Above estimatePolymarketVolume ~58,942.486← All markets

Recent price

99.4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of OneFootball Club's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by OneFootball Club will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If OneFootball Club (https://x.com/ofc_the_club) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No"

Active signals

OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Above estimate

Trend Continuation

Confidence Mid
Opportunity: NO sideModel leaning NO

Edge

-6.3 pts

Strong edge

Market-implied

99.4%

Model estimate

7.0%

YES

99.4%

NO

0.6%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +26.0 pts · Δ24h +26.0 pts (same direction)

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 99.4%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 93.0%, indicating a possible -6.3 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +26.0 pts · Δ24h +26.0 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
  • Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →Explore related topic →More in Crypto →

Related markets

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
99¢
Best ask (buy)
99¢
Spread
0¢
Midpoint
99¢
Depth (top level)
bid 200 · ask 5,779.16

NO

Best bid (sell)
1¢
Best ask (buy)
1¢
Spread
0¢
Midpoint
1¢
Depth (top level)
bid 5,779.16 · ask 200