Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Tech · market-implied 37.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Active signals
Market Overreaction
Confidence MidEdge
-2.0 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
37.5%
Model estimate
64.5%
YES
37.5%
NO
62.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move +4.0 pts · 3.8× typical volatility
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
37.5%
NO
62.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.240 vs 0.060 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+6.0 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
37.5%
Model estimate
43.5%
YES
37.5%
NO
62.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +3.5 pts · Δ24h +11.5 pts (same direction)
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 37.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 35.5%, indicating a possible -2.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move +4.0 pts · 3.8× typical volatility
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
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Execution
YES
NO