yes Cade Cunningham: 8+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 25+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes Desmond Bane: 15+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+,yes Amen Thompson: 15+,yes Austin Reaves: 20+,yes LeBron James: 20+,yes Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points,no Detroit wins by over 4.5 points,yes Houston wins by over 2.5 points,yes Over 219.5 points scored,no Over 211.5 points scored,yes Over 206.5 points scored

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.