BinaryStreaks

Set 1 Winner: Sonmez vs Bucsa

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 58.0%

Volume ~77.667← All markets

Recent price

58.0%

This market refers to the tennis match between Zeynep Sonmez and Cristina Bucsa in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sonmez” if Zeynep Sonmez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Bucsa” if Cristina Bucsa wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.

Active signals

No active signals for this market.

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
56¢
Best ask (buy)
60¢
Spread
4¢
Midpoint
58¢
Depth (top level)
bid 20 · ask 50

NO

Best bid (sell)
40¢
Best ask (buy)
44¢
Spread
4¢
Midpoint
42¢
Depth (top level)
bid 50 · ask 20
Set 1 Winner: Sonmez vs Bucsa | BinaryStreaks