Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Culture · market-implied 0.4%
Recent price
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence MidEdge
+28.5 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
0.4%
Model estimate
29.0%
YES
0.4%
NO
99.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +28.0 pts · Δ24h +28.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
0.4%
NO
99.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.002 vs 0.003 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 0.4%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 29.0%, indicating a possible +28.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +28.0 pts · Δ24h +28.0 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
- Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.
Execution
YES
NO