BinaryStreaks

Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)

Updated 14d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 56.5%

PolymarketVolume ~27,621.142← All markets

Recent price

56.5%

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Weibo Gaming and Oh My God in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for April 20 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming wins 2 or more games than Oh My God in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Oh My God". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Active signals

Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Low
Opportunity: NO sideModel leaning NO

Edge

-1.0 pts

Early edge

Market-implied

56.5%

Model estimate

44.5%

YES

56.5%

NO

43.5%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +4.5 pts · Δ24h +4.5 pts (same direction)

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 56.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 55.5%, indicating a possible -1.0 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +4.5 pts · Δ24h +4.5 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →More in Sports →

Related markets

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
56¢
Best ask (buy)
57¢
Spread
1¢
Midpoint
56¢
Depth (top level)
bid 10,660.19 · ask 1,493.61

NO

Best bid (sell)
43¢
Best ask (buy)
44¢
Spread
1¢
Midpoint
44¢
Depth (top level)
bid 1,493.61 · ask 10,660.19