Crypto · market-implied 0.7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+1.3 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
0.7%
Model estimate
2.0%
YES
0.7%
NO
99.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.5 pts · Δ24h -3.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
0.7%
NO
99.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.030 vs 0.035 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 0.7%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 2.0%, indicating a possible +1.3 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.5 pts · Δ24h -3.5 pts (same direction)
YES
NO