NBA · market-implied 99.8%
This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 5.5 games are played during the 2026 NBA Playoffs Conference Semifinals series between the San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of games played. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the total number of games cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trend Continuation
Confidence MidEdge
-1.8 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
99.8%
Model estimate
2.0%
YES
99.8%
NO
0.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +38.3 pts · Δ24h +44.8 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
99.8%
NO
0.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.130 vs 0.035 · wide · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 99.8%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 98.0%, indicating a possible -1.8 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +38.3 pts · Δ24h +44.8 pts (same direction)
YES
NO