NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5

Updated 9d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

NBA · market-implied 99.8%

PolymarketVolume ~50,471.329← All markets

Recent price

99.8%

This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 5.5 games are played during the 2026 NBA Playoffs Conference Semifinals series between the San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of games played. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the total number of games cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 99.8%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 98.0%, indicating a possible -1.8 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +38.3 pts · Δ24h +44.8 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
100¢
Best ask (buy)
100¢
Spread
Midpoint
100¢
Depth (top level)
bid 10,000 · ask 598.21

NO

Best bid (sell)
Best ask (buy)
Spread
Midpoint
Depth (top level)
bid 598.21 · ask 10,000