Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Culture · market-implied 99.1%
Recent price
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-82.6 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
99.1%
Model estimate
83.5%
YES
99.1%
NO
0.9%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -10.5 pts · Δ24h -10.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
99.1%
NO
0.9%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.310 · wide
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 99.1%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 16.5%, indicating a possible -82.6 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -10.5 pts · Δ24h -10.5 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
- Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.
Execution
YES
NO