Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026?

Updated 10d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Culture · market-implied 78.5%

PolymarketVolume ~40,295.032← All markets

Recent price

78.5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Megan Thee Stallion and/or Klay Thompson announce their intention to legally separate or break up between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or otherwise break up will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or breakup later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or breakup occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Megan Thee Stallion, Klay Thompson, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 78.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 80.5%, indicating a possible +2.0 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +22.5 pts · Δ24h +22.5 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
76¢
Best ask (buy)
88¢
Spread
12¢
Midpoint
82¢
Depth (top level)
bid 20 · ask 0.34

NO

Best bid (sell)
12¢
Best ask (buy)
24¢
Spread
12¢
Midpoint
18¢
Depth (top level)
bid 0.34 · ask 20