Culture · market-implied 78.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Megan Thee Stallion and/or Klay Thompson announce their intention to legally separate or break up between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or otherwise break up will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or breakup later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or breakup occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Megan Thee Stallion, Klay Thompson, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
+2.0 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
78.5%
Model estimate
80.5%
YES
78.5%
NO
21.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +22.5 pts · Δ24h +22.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence LowYES
78.5%
NO
21.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.120 vs 0.260 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 78.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 80.5%, indicating a possible +2.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +22.5 pts · Δ24h +22.5 pts (same direction)
YES
NO