Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?
Crypto · market-implied 35.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence MidEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
35.5%
Model estimate
-
YES
35.5%
NO
64.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -36.0 pts · Δ24h -35.5 pts (same direction)
Market Overreaction
Confidence MidEdge
+31.0 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
35.5%
Model estimate
66.5%
YES
35.5%
NO
64.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move +9.0 pts · 3.0× typical volatility
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 35.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 35.5%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -36.0 pts · Δ24h -35.5 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Execution
YES
NO