Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?

Updated 12d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Culture · market-implied 8.5%

PolymarketVolume ~35,973.348← All markets

Recent price

8.5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular gets frame mogged on stream by Gorlock the Destroyer "Ali Lopez" during the Mog World Order, Clavicular's 30 day marathon taking place from March 13 - April 13. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. "Frame mogged" refers to Gorlock the Destroyer’s superior frame visibly dominating Clavicular’s frame. Any form of on-stream appearance in which they stand next to each other in frame on stream will qualify. The primary resolution source will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible clips/videos from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.

Active signals

No active signals for this market.

Market summary

This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
Best ask (buy)
Spread
Midpoint

NO

No live book