CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Science · market-implied 75.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Active signals
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
75.5%
NO
24.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.330 vs 0.080 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
75.5%
Model estimate
-
YES
75.5%
NO
24.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +4.0 pts · Δ24h +11.0 pts (same direction)
Market summary
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.330 vs 0.080 · wide
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Execution
YES
NO