Culture · market-implied 99.7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market is currently priced at 99.7%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 96.7%, indicating a possible -3.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.2 pts · Δ24h -3.2 pts (same direction)
YES
No live book
NO
No live book