BinaryStreaks

Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Arango (+1.5)

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 66.5%

Volume ~2.239← All markets

Recent price

66.5%

This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Noskova and Emiliana Arango in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Noskova" if Linda Noskova wins by 2 or more sets than Emiliana Arango, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arango." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Active signals

Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Arango (+1.5)

Trend Continuation

Confidence Mid-low

Edge

0.0 pts

Market-implied

66.5%

Model estimate

-

YES

66.5%

NO

33.5%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +16.5 pts · Δ24h +16.5 pts (same direction)

Execution

YES

No live book

NO

No live book