Crypto · market-implied 40.0%
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
40.0%
NO
60.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.060 vs 0.010 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-4.5 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
40.0%
Model estimate
64.5%
YES
40.0%
NO
60.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.0 pts · Δ24h -5.0 pts (same direction)
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.060 vs 0.010 · wide
YES
NO