Crypto · market-implied 73.0%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
73.0%
Model estimate
-
YES
73.0%
NO
27.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -3.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
73.0%
NO
27.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.070 vs 0.050 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 73.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 73.0%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -3.0 pts (same direction)
YES
NO