Business · market-implied 11.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
11.5%
NO
88.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.160 vs 0.055 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
11.5%
Model estimate
-
YES
11.5%
NO
88.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -9.5 pts · Δ24h -7.5 pts (same direction)
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.160 vs 0.055 · wide
YES
NO