BinaryStreaks

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Updated 8h ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Crypto · market-implied 99.2%

PolymarketVolume ~1,696,747.85← All markets

Recent price

99.2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of USD.AI's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If USD.AI (https://usd.ai/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Active signals

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Mid
Opportunity: NO sideModel leaning NO

Edge

-1.2 pts

Early edge

Market-implied

99.2%

Model estimate

2.0%

YES

99.2%

NO

0.8%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +40.2 pts · Δ24h +40.2 pts (same direction)

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 99.2%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 98.0%, indicating a possible -1.2 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +40.2 pts · Δ24h +40.2 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →Explore related topic →More in Crypto →

Related markets

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
99¢
Best ask (buy)
99¢
Spread
0¢
Midpoint
99¢
Depth (top level)
bid 55.9 · ask 413.16

NO

Best bid (sell)
1¢
Best ask (buy)
1¢
Spread
0¢
Midpoint
1¢
Depth (top level)
bid 413.16 · ask 55.9