Prediction market intelligence, movers & signals
Public prediction market intelligence from ingested data. Signals are rule-based flags - not trade recommendations.
yes Luca Nardi,yes New York M,yes Texas,yes Minnesota,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Arizona,no Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,no Miami wins by over 1.5 runs,yes CAR Hurricanes
Updated 555h ago
Why this is interesting: Recent price shift and active market
YES
50.0%
NO
50.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Quick signals
Swipe for moreyes Luca Nardi,yes New York M,yes Texas,yes Minnesota,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Arizona,no Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,no Miami wins by over 1.5 runs,yes CAR Hurricanes
50%
Market probability
Leaning YES
yes Daniel Merida,yes Roberto Bautista Agut,yes Zizou Bergs,yes Roman Andres Burruchaga,yes Alexander Blockx,yes Marin Cilic,yes Sebastian Ofner,yes Matteo Berrettini,yes Pablo Llamas Ruiz,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante,yes Qinwen Zheng,yes Mirra Andreeva,yes Coco Gauff,yes Sorana Cirstea,yes Jasmine Paolini,yes Anhelina Kalinina,yes Elise Mertens,yes Linda Noskova
1%
Market probability
Leaning YES
yes Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored
50%
Market probability
Leaning YES
yes Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored
13%
Market probability
Leaning YES
Provider snapshot
A quick side-by-side view of recent movers and active signals by provider.
Movers
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?YES 2.1%NO 97.9%Vol 62.58M
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?YES 0.8%NO 99.3%Vol 50.71M
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?YES 0.7%NO 99.4%Vol 50.11M
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?YES 0.8%NO 99.3%Vol 49.25M
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?YES 0.9%NO 99.2%Vol 48.45M
Movers
- yes Detroit,yes Philadelphia,yes Toronto,yes New York Y,yes Chicago C,yes Los Angeles D,yes New York M,yes Los Angeles A,yes San DiegoYES 0.5%NO 99.5%Vol 33.5K
- yes Chicago C,yes Detroit,yes Milwaukee,yes New York Y,yes Tampa Bay,yes A's,no Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes BOS Bruins,yes UTA MammothYES 50.0%NO 50.0%Vol 31.9K
- yes New York M,yes New York Y,yes Pittsburgh,yes Donovan Mitchell: 1+,yes Cade Cunningham: 1+,yes Duncan Robinson: 1+,yes Tobias Harris: 1+,yes Austin Reaves: 2+,yes LeBron James: 4+,yes Marcus Smart: 2+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 6+,yes Oklahoma City,yes Donovan Mitchell: 15+,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes James Harden: 10+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+,yes Jalen Duren: 10+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Deandre Ayton: 10+,yes LeBron James: 15+,yes Marcus Smart: 10+,yes Chet Holmgren: 10+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 2+,yes Evan Mobley: 6+,yes Jarrett Allen: 4+,yes Deandre Ayton: 4+,yes Chet Holmgren: 6+,no Detroit wins by over 3.5 pointsYES 4.1%NO 95.9%Vol 30.3K
- yes Luca Nardi,yes New York M,yes Texas,yes Minnesota,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Arizona,no Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,no Miami wins by over 1.5 runs,yes CAR HurricanesYES 50.0%NO 50.0%Vol 30.0K
- yes Daniel Merida,yes Roberto Bautista Agut,yes Zizou Bergs,yes Roman Andres Burruchaga,yes Alexander Blockx,yes Marin Cilic,yes Sebastian Ofner,yes Matteo Berrettini,yes Pablo Llamas Ruiz,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante,yes Qinwen Zheng,yes Mirra Andreeva,yes Coco Gauff,yes Sorana Cirstea,yes Jasmine Paolini,yes Anhelina Kalinina,yes Elise Mertens,yes Linda NoskovaYES 0.6%NO 99.4%Vol 27.3K
Signals
- No active signals yet.
Top opportunities right now
Ranked by model edge and market inefficiencies · Updated live
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Markets are currently efficient. Showing latest signals below.
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Payout & breakeven calculator
Quick payoff math for a $1 / $0 per-share market. Informational only.
Payout & breakeven calculator
Informational only. Uses a simplified $1 / $0 payoff per share.
Cost
$4.40
Payout if correct
$10.00
Max profit
$5.60
Max loss
$4.40
Breakeven probability (for YES)
44.0%
If your true probability for YES is above this, the trade is positive EV in expectation (under that belief).