Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

Updated 7d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Tech · market-implied 4.0%

PolymarketVolume ~72,337.75← All markets

Recent price

4.0%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber Technologies, Inc. invites Travis Kalanick to return to the company in any formal role between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying invitation refers to a definitive request, offer, or solicitation by Uber for Travis Kalanick to assume a formal role within the company. Qualifying roles include any official position at Uber Technologies, Inc., including but not limited to executive roles, advisory roles, or membership on the company’s Board of Directors. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if Travis Kalanick joins Uber Technologies, Inc. in any formal role during the market’s timeframe, even if the invitation or request from Uber was not publicly disclosed. Speculation, rumors, or discussions about a potential return will not qualify unless Uber definitively invites Travis Kalanick to return or Travis Kalanick actually joins the company in a qualifying role. Partnerships, investments, or business relationships between Uber and companies founded, owned, or operated by Travis Kalanick will not qualify unless Travis Kalanick himself assumes a formal role within Uber. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements or filings from Uber Technologies, Inc.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market summary

This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.

Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 vs 0.015 · thin top-book

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
Best ask (buy)
Spread
Midpoint
Depth (top level)
bid 791.96 · ask 841.03

NO

Best bid (sell)
95¢
Best ask (buy)
97¢
Spread
Midpoint
96¢
Depth (top level)
bid 841.03 · ask 791.96