BinaryStreaks

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Updated 13d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 90.5%

Above estimatePolymarketVolume ~31,872.364← All markets

Recent price

90.5%

This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and Leviatan Esports in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 6 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against Leviatan Esports. This market will resolve to "Leviatan Esports" if Leviatan Esports win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Active signals

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Polymarket
Above estimate

Trend Continuation

Confidence Low
Opportunity: NO sideModel leaning NO

Edge

-6.5 pts

Strong edge

Market-implied

90.5%

Model estimate

16.0%

YES

90.5%

NO

9.5%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +11.0 pts · Δ24h +11.0 pts (same direction)

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Polymarket

Low Liquidity Warning

Confidence Mid-high

YES

90.5%

NO

9.5%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Spread 0.080 · wide

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 90.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 84.0%, indicating a possible -6.5 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +11.0 pts · Δ24h +11.0 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
  • Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →Explore related topic →More in Sports →

Related markets

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
90¢
Best ask (buy)
91¢
Spread
1¢
Midpoint
91¢
Depth (top level)
bid 1,524.78 · ask 9,315.18

NO

Best bid (sell)
9¢
Best ask (buy)
10¢
Spread
1¢
Midpoint
10¢
Depth (top level)
bid 9,315.18 · ask 1,524.78