Will Google dip to $255 in April?

Updated 15h ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Finance · market-implied 0.1%

Below estimatePolymarketVolume ~9,022.293← All markets

Recent price

0.1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 0.1%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 39.0%, indicating a possible +38.9 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h -16.0 pts · Δ24h -16.0 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
  • Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
4¢
Best ask (buy)
10¢
Spread
6¢
Midpoint
7¢
Depth (top level)
bid 34.72 · ask 0.08

NO

Best bid (sell)
90¢
Best ask (buy)
96¢
Spread
6¢
Midpoint
93¢
Depth (top level)
bid 0.08 · ask 34.72