BinaryStreaks

Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

Updated 13d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Crypto · market-implied 53.5%

PolymarketVolume ~34,115.503← All markets

Recent price

53.5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

Active signals

Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Low

Edge

0.0 pts

Market-implied

53.5%

Model estimate

-

YES

53.5%

NO

46.5%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +3.5 pts · Δ24h +4.0 pts (same direction)

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 53.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 53.5%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +3.5 pts · Δ24h +4.0 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →Explore related topic →More in Crypto →

Related markets

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
33¢
Best ask (buy)
74¢
Spread
41¢
Midpoint
54¢
Depth (top level)
bid 46 · ask 65

NO

Best bid (sell)
26¢
Best ask (buy)
67¢
Spread
41¢
Midpoint
47¢
Depth (top level)
bid 65 · ask 46