Sports · market-implied 12.0%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve removes the listed map from the official map pool by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the removal lasts continuously for at least 48 hours. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Temporary or testing removals reversed within 48 hours do not count. The "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in CS2, used for competitive matchmaking (Premier mode) and professional tournaments. For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-1.0 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
12.0%
Model estimate
89.0%
YES
12.0%
NO
88.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +4.5 pts · Δ24h +4.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
12.0%
NO
88.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.610 · wide
This market is currently priced at 12.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 11.0%, indicating a possible -1.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +4.5 pts · Δ24h +4.5 pts (same direction)
YES
NO