Barstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300?

Updated 8d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 1.8%

PolymarketVolume ~57,247.379← All markets

Recent price

-1.8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Barstool Crew (Ohio’s Tate, Doitche, T Bob, Feitelberg, Marty Mush, Steven Cheah, Chef Donny, Gia, Danny Conrad, Ebo, Connor Griffin, Mikey Mazarreti) manages to score a 300 per the rules of the challenge by the end of the official Barstool live stream scheduled to start on April 14, 2026, 8:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any deviation from the rules of the competition listed by Barstool in the official announcement quoted below will not count toward a “Yes” resolution. The rules for the competition are as follows: "- It’s a bowling scramble just like a golf scramble. We all get to throw the 1st frame. As long as one of the 12 gets a strike, we take that persons score and move on to frame 2 - However then that person whose score we took is now OUT for the rest of the round - So on frame 2, we have 11 people rolling, and as long as one person rolls a strike, we move on to frame 3 - And then on frame 3, we have 10 people rolling, and as long as one person rolls a strike, we move on to frame 4 - And so on and so on and so on until we’re starting on frame 9 with 4 people left needing a strike - Then frame 10 with 3 people who need a strike, and then the 2nd ball of frame 10 with 2 people, then on the 3rd ball of frame 10, needing a strike for the 300, we’d have 1 person throwing 1 ball needing a strike" Only the completion of the challenge by the listed members of the Barstool Crew will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If the Barstool crew or Barstool Sports announces a pause, break, or delay in the challenge with the intention of pausing/stopping the stream and resuming at a later time, this market will resolve to "No". If the Barstool After Dark event is cancelled, postponed after April 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the crew completed the challenge within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Barstool Sports; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Active signals

No active signals for this market.

Market summary

This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
Best ask (buy)
Spread
Midpoint
Depth (top level)
bid 350 · ask 6,335.36

NO

Best bid (sell)
98¢
Best ask (buy)
99¢
Spread
Midpoint
98¢
Depth (top level)
bid 6,335.36 · ask 350