Soccer · market-implied 31.5%
This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
31.5%
Model estimate
-
YES
31.5%
NO
68.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -5.0 pts · Δ24h -5.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
31.5%
NO
68.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 31.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 31.5%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -5.0 pts · Δ24h -5.0 pts (same direction)
YES
NO