BinaryStreaks

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?

Updated 8d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 99.5%

PolymarketVolume ~60,982.058← All markets

Recent price

99.5%

In the upcoming match between Natus Vincere and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 24 at 12:30PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 27 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Active signals

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Mid-high
Opportunity: NO sideModel leaning NO

Edge

-1.5 pts

Early edge

Market-implied

99.5%

Model estimate

2.0%

YES

99.5%

NO

0.5%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +46.5 pts · Δ24h +46.5 pts (same direction)

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 99.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 98.0%, indicating a possible -1.5 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +46.5 pts · Δ24h +46.5 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →More in Sports →

Related markets

Execution

YES

No live book

NO

No live book