Crypto · market-implied 29.0%
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 16:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPEUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market Overreaction
Confidence MidEdge
+9.3 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
29.0%
Model estimate
38.3%
YES
29.0%
NO
71.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move -3.5 pts · 3.1× typical volatility
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+7.0 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
29.0%
Model estimate
36.0%
YES
29.0%
NO
71.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -4.5 pts (same direction)
This market is currently priced at 29.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 38.3%, indicating a possible +9.3 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move -3.5 pts · 3.1× typical volatility
YES
NO