Crypto · market-implied 20.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
20.5%
Model estimate
-
YES
20.5%
NO
79.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -21.5 pts · Δ24h -21.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
20.5%
NO
79.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.030 vs 0.040 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 20.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 20.5%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -21.5 pts · Δ24h -21.5 pts (same direction)
YES
NO