Crypto · market-implied 11.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
11.5%
NO
88.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.190 vs 0.030 · wide · thin top-book
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
+5.5 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
11.5%
Model estimate
17.0%
YES
11.5%
NO
88.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -13.0 pts · Δ24h -13.0 pts (same direction)
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.190 vs 0.030 · wide · thin top-book
YES
NO