Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Politics · market-implied 86.5%
Recent price
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 86.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 76.5%, indicating a possible -10.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.0 pts · Δ24h -3.0 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
- Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.
Related markets
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Execution
YES
NO