World · market-implied 0.7%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+3.3 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
0.7%
Model estimate
4.0%
YES
0.7%
NO
99.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +3.3 pts · Δ24h +3.3 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
0.7%
NO
99.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.014 vs 0.005 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 0.7%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 4.0%, indicating a possible +3.3 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +3.3 pts · Δ24h +3.3 pts (same direction)
YES
NO