Crypto · market-implied 19.5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any TradingView 1 minute candle for CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS between November 3, 2025, 11:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS “Low” prices available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3AOTHERS, with the chart settings on “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market depends solely on price data from the TradingView CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS chart. Prices from other sources, indices, or exchanges will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence LowYES
19.5%
NO
80.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.630 vs 0.120 · wide
Market Overreaction
Confidence MidEdge
+36.8 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
19.5%
Model estimate
56.3%
YES
19.5%
NO
80.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move -4.5 pts · 3.6× typical volatility
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+34.5 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
19.5%
Model estimate
54.0%
YES
19.5%
NO
80.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.5 pts · Δ24h -4.5 pts (same direction)
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.630 vs 0.120 · wide
YES
NO