Crypto · market-implied 98.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of USD.AI's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If USD.AI (https://usd.ai/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trend Continuation
Confidence HighEdge
-0.5 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
98.5%
Model estimate
2.0%
YES
98.5%
NO
1.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +76.0 pts · Δ24h +76.0 pts (same direction)
Market Overreaction
Confidence HighEdge
-74.5 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
98.5%
Model estimate
76.0%
YES
98.5%
NO
1.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move -3.0 pts · 5.2× typical volatility
This market is currently priced at 98.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 98.0%, indicating a possible -0.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +76.0 pts · Δ24h +76.0 pts (same direction)
YES
NO