Tech · market-implied 8.5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is currently priced at 8.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 9.5%, indicating a possible +1.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -5.0 pts · Δ24h -5.0 pts (same direction)
YES
No live book
NO
No live book